Science or Silence? My battle to question doomsayers about the Great Barrier Reef
By Professor Peter Ridd
http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2018/...rier-reef.html
Around the world, people have heard about the impending extinction of the Great Barrier Reef: some 133,000 square miles of magnificent coral stretching for 1,400 miles off the northeast coast of Australia.
The reef is supposedly almost dead from the combined effects of a warming climate, nutrient pollution from Australian farms, and smothering sediment from offshore dredging.
Except that, as I have said publicly as a
research scientist who has studied the reef for the past 30 years, all this most likely isn't true.
And just for saying that – and
calling into question the kind of published science that has led to the gloomy predictions – I have been served with a gag order by my university. I am now having to
sue for my right to have an ordinary scientific opinion.
My emails have been searched. I was not allowed even to speak to my wife about the issue. I have been harangued by lawyers. And now I'm fighting back to
assert my right to academic freedom and
bring attention to the crisis of scientific truth.
The problems I am facing are part of
a "replication crisis" that is sweeping through science and is
now a serious topic in major science journals. In
major scientific trials that attempt to reproduce the results of scientific observations and measurements, it seems that
around 50 percent of recently published science is wrong, because the results can't be replicated by others.
And if observations and measurements can't be replicated,
it isn't really science – it is still, at best,
hypothesis, or even just opinion. This is
not a controversial topic anymore – science, or at least
the system of checking the science we are using, is failing us.
The crisis started in biomedical areas, where pharmaceutical companies in the past decade found that
up to 80 percent of university and institutional science results that they tested were wrong.
It is now recognized that the problem is much more widespread than the biomedical sciences. And that is where I got into big trouble.
I have published numerous scientific papers showing that much of the "science" claiming damage to the reef is
either plain wrong or greatly exaggerated. As
just one example, coral growth rates that have supposedly collapsed along the reef have,
if anything, increased slightly.....
...This case may be about a single instance of alleged misconduct, but underlying it is an issue even bigger than our oceans. Ultimately, I am fighting for
academic and scientific freedom, and the
responsibility of universities to nurture the debate of difficult subjects
without threat or intimidation.
We may indeed have a Great Barrier Reef crisis, but
the science is so flawed that it is impossible to tell its actual dimensions.
What we do know for certain is that we have an academic freedom crisis that threatens the true life of science and threatens to smother our failing university system.