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Thread: Professor with Remarkable Track Record Predicts a Trump Election Win

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    Professor with Remarkable Track Record Predicts a Trump Election Win

    Saturday on Fox & Friends, Tucker Carlson sat down with a college professor with a remarkable record of predicting election outcomes.

    Professor Helmut Norpoth, from Stony Brook University in New York State, has correctly predicted the outcomes of the last five presidential elections.

    This year, he steadfastly believes Donald Trump will win the election.

    Norpoth said he uses two "models" to make his prediction:

    One is the "primary" model, where he compares a candidate's strength in their respective primaries.

    "The candidate who does better in his party's primary beats the other guy who does less well," Norpoth said.

    Looking at New Hampshire and South Carolina's primaries, Norpoth projected that Trump would be the general election favorite because of the strength of his showing, versus Hillary Clinton.

    The second model he created is called the "swing of the pendulum" model.

    Watch the full clip above to find out how he compared Trump and Clinton in that way, and let us know what you think in the comments.

    Video at link:

    http://insider.foxnews.com/2016/10/2...ecord-predicts

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  3. #2
    Yep
    This I say therefore, and testify in the Lord, that ye henceforth walk not as other Gentiles walk, in the vanity (futility) of their mind, having the understanding darkened...
    (Ephesians 4:17-18)

    Blessed is the man that walketh not in the counsel of the ungodly...
    (Psalm 1)

  4. #3

    http://tinyurl.com/gpwfpes

    Political science professor Helmut Norpoth, who has accurately called the results of the last five presidential elections, still asserts that Donald Trump has an 87% chance of defeating Hillary Clinton despite Clinton being ahead in the polls....



    ..."There are also quite a few colleagues of mine who have a prediction that Trump is going to make it," added the professor.

    Many Trump supporters are now claiming that the media narrative that the election result is a foregone conclusion is a trick designed to convince potential Trump voters to stay home on November 8.

    A confidential memo
    allegedly obtained from Correct The Record, a Democratic Super PAC, reveals a plan to "barrage" voters with high frequency polls that show Hillary ahead in order to "declare election over," while avoiding any mention of the Brexit vote (which completely contradicted polls that said Brexit would fail).

    Emails revealed by Wikileaks show how Democratic operatives planned to encourage "oversamples for polling" in order to "maximize what we get out of our media polling." In other words, sample more Democrats than Republicans in order to make people believe that Hillary's lead is far greater than the reality of a tight race.

    Norpoth's forecast of a Trump victory mirrors what's taking place in the betting markets, with British bookmakers William Hill revealing last week that 65% of all bets on the market have backed Trump to win the election, a similar phenomenon to what happened before the Brexit vote, where the polls were proven completely wrong....
    This I say therefore, and testify in the Lord, that ye henceforth walk not as other Gentiles walk, in the vanity (futility) of their mind, having the understanding darkened...
    (Ephesians 4:17-18)

    Blessed is the man that walketh not in the counsel of the ungodly...
    (Psalm 1)

  5. The Following User Says Thank You to GodismyJudge For This Useful Post:

    Ezekiel 33 (10-25-2016)

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